Can
we really predict the Dow Jones utilizing only one aspect between a pair of
the planets?
by Alphee Lavoie
Equipped with my Market Trader software program, I immediately employed the efficiency
testing module to find out what happened in the past with this important square.
The following graph shows exactly what occurred from 1928. It didn't look
really promising to bring a major down.
Under
that aspect the major moves were up 9 times and down 1 time.
Next
I used the BlackBox module in Market Trader to educate the computer and create a
forecast for August and September of 1998. The
following graph shows that forecast.
After
the fact we saw that this so-called violent aspect didn't bring the stock down
but , instead, brought the Dow Jones up 6.57%.
This result is more within the parameters of the probability of what that aspect
produced in the past.
|
In
the middle of August CNN wanted me to go to New York to be on their financial show.
After
telling them that I would not travel to New York they decided to come to West
Hartford to interview me. They wanted to hear my opinions about that celestial
square and why astrologers were certain that it would create a major down.
At
that point I told them that the major down for the year would be in the last
week of August.
The Hartford Courant, the largest newspaper in Ct, saw me on CNN and was prompted to write an article about me and my prediction for the August market. They also interviewed major trading firms from Boston (which I will not mention here but were named in their article) who negated the science of astrology, dissed astrologers and stated that following the advice of astrologers would make you lose your shirt!
However, I had the last laugh a couple
of months after this major down in August as these huge financial firms
announced that they were closing many offices across the country.
Right
after this happened I realized that it's almost next to impossible to properly
forecast the market on one aspect with a planetary pair. There are just too many
things going on in the sky at the same time.
The classical astrological aspects work exceptionally well in psychological application, but that doesn't necessarily mean that they would have the same effect in market prediction.
That's when my partner, Sergey, and I decided to come up with a solution to
have the ability to analyze market movement using every opening (in degrees or in
minutes) between a pair of planets.
The proof is in the pudding because that has been working very well for me and
many of our owners of our Market Trader software.
In February 28, 2007 transiting
Saturn was going to make the aspect of an opposition to the planet Neptune.
Again Astro financial
astrologers were predicting a major down. If
we look at the probability of that aspect with our efficiency testing module
since 1928, this is what it looked
like. The graph shows that the Dow has a strong probability of going up.
In
November 2006 I posted this following forecast graph on my website for the month of February 2007.
Again this forecast
was calculated using past performance of the Dow Jones and the Market Trader
Software's artificial intelligence to educate the computer by using every degree
and minute between all pairs of planets in transit.
The big question that needs to be asked is this: was Saturn oppose Neptune the only astrological energy to caused that down or was that down caused by many other aspects happening at the same time? When we look at the efficiency testing we see that in the past when Saturn opposed Neptune it produced a majority of upswings. So why did it produce a downswing this time? If cycles or probability repeats this aspect would have been an upswing.
There are a lot of activities occurring in the sky concurrently that effect the market. Among other things, one of these factors could be the position of the Moon. In February 2007 Saturn/Neptune aspected the Moon in the sign of Cancer. The following graph indicates that since 1928 the Moon in the sign Cancer makes the Dow Jones fall. In October of 1998 the Moon was the sign Pisces, showing strength in the Dow Jones .
I don't believe that you can predict the market with one classical aspect between a pair of planets. There are many other modules that I can use in the market trader software to prove this point. I also question whether the market moves on the Ptolemy aspects. Take a look at the next diagram.
This was produced by examining the Sun Pluto opening since 1928. Notice the peak is at 103° opening and the bottom is at 283 degree opening. This aspect of the square produced a top and bottom of 13° after the exact Ptolemy classical square aspect. For the Sun's movement that's 13 days after the square.
My choice is to put my money on degrees and seconds of the opening between pairs the planets instead of using classical aspects.
In the early 90's I introduced the different results between a waxing and waning square or any aspect for that matter. I called it 'back and front' because trying to explain it to a non-astrologer in astrological terms was unclear. But when I used the phrase 'back and front' they got the concept right away. 90° is the front square while 270° is the back square. 60 degrees is the front sextile and 300 is the back sextile. Every aspect, except the conjunction and opposition, has a 'front and back' degree to it. In the following diagram front sextiles bring tops and the back sextiles portend bottoms. This is why we have to be careful when we're talking about aspects.
